RESEARCH · WORKING PAPERS

The mechanics
of a modern recall.

Five ongoing studies of the systems that produce, publish, and (fail to) distribute recall information — and where the mechanics break down.

Vol. I01

The Notification Gap

A study of the median time between a recall going public on a government website and a directly-affected consumer becoming aware of it. Findings: 92% of affected consumers learn from news coverage, social media, or a friend — not from the manufacturer or a government notice. Median lag: 11 days.

Sept 2026 · 28 pp · Sample: 1,200 recall events, 2022-2025
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Vol. II02

Listeria in the Cold Chain

Ten years of Listeria outbreaks in USDA-regulated deli meats. Documents the 2024 Boar's Head event in detail, traces regulatory-response timelines, and identifies four common failure modes in ready-to-eat production facilities.

Oct 2026 · 34 pp · Boar's Head 2024 case study + 2015-2025 outbreak dataset
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Vol. III03

The Undeclared-Allergen Problem

Undeclared allergens are the #1 category of FDA food recalls by count. This paper analyzes 900 undeclared-allergen recalls 2020-2025, identifies the manufacturing conditions that produce them, and proposes disclosure-improvement metrics for regulators.

In progress · 40 pp draft · 900 events analyzed
Coming soon
Vol. IV04

Repeat-Offender Dynamics

Analysis of the 40 companies that appear most often in the CPSC recall database 2020-2026. What patterns predict repeated recall exposure? Findings: sub-scale sourcing, opaque supplier chains, and delayed hazard reporting each independently correlate with 2-4× recall rate.

Nov 2026 · 22 pp · Publisher: TOTAL RECALL Data Desk
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Vol. V05

The Infant-Formula Crisis Redux

A close read of the 2022 Abbott Sturgis shutdown and its cascading effects — Cronobacter sakazakii detection, WIC availability, national shortage. Documents the failures at each layer (facility, FDA, distribution) and outlines what a modern early-warning system would have caught.

Publication Q1 2027 · Working paper 90+ pp draft
Coming soon
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